शनिवार, 25 अप्रैल 2020

Lock-down Erudition

It’s been around 25 days living in the lockdown. For first few days, we were really thinking how we would be able to spend 21 days sitting indolent, literally doing nothing. Now that we have spent considerably good time in the state of isolation, few trends and learning could be penned. Are we really “isolated” for these times? Have we really made the first lockdown time unproductive? Were we really fueling the degrowing economy?
Here are few points I noticed over last few weeks of isolation :-


1. WFH A New Way :- While we had lived with lot of jargons and terminology, here is the latest in the list, Work From Home or WFH precisely. Though this terminology were existing in the corporate world but was taken as a process to fulfil both the social and professional commitments. Most of the companies even had defined the no of days one can have WFH and was generally not more than 1 or 2 days a month or even quarter. Now that we are in a situation where WFH is the only way out, we have started realizing the output that can be driven from this new process. Most of the people I know are always saying that throughout the day they are in some tele con or virtual meeting and day is more hectic than a normal office day. So, a new learning is productivity can be driven even when a person is W(ing)FH. Over a period of time, nothing surprising if the office space would start becoming narrower and physical meeting would be called for socializing with the associates rather. Virtual meeting would play bigger role in aligning the employees. Moreover, as much as 30 – 40 % roles would be made WFH role only with the desired KPI. This may considerably lead to reducing the part of compensation as well for the associates with WFH profile. Perhaps the new aspiration would be to move to the office role from the WFH role.


2. Virtual Meeting :- Virtual meeting is another process that almost every, at least private sector, employee are practicing. Frankly speaking, whenever I was conducting any regular contact meeting, it was costing us not less than a lakh rupee including the travel and stay of all the associates. Mine is a team of 5 people. Not only that, whether you are willing or not you may have to attend those evening informal sessions as well. While I agree, these informal sessions do have greater importance, but having it every month become more of a boozing exercise. Besides there are lot of non-productive minutes and at times even hour during the meeting. These virtual meeting now is a new learning for any company. The meeting could be made if not more, equally productive without loosing lots of money. So, while the productivity may not be questionable, this is giving a suppleness of saving lots of cost for the organization and a net profit or GTN would further improve, though not at a larger extent. The better ways perhaps in future is to have mostly a quarterly team physical meeting and rest of the time can be done through virtual meeting. This may make more sense in context of the sales organization with a team spread across the geo.


3. Importance of Home Office :- I never have made any work station or work space in my home. I do were doing some of the times the WFH or even post working hours, had to work at home. Now that it is an everyday affair and that had pushed me to create a workstation at home. The productivity further improves if one is creating a workstation ambience at home. This going forward, would be one prerequisite in every domiciliary. There may be a good surge in the miniature office furniture and even builders and developers would like to create a small office space in the flat. The new terminology would not be BHK but it would be BHKO. There are high chances that a housing society would be having an office space with workstations an essential as like club, library, playground.


4. The Innovation in Business Logistics :- In these tough time, ensuring robust delivery mechanism is quite difficult for the product selling organizations. This may be because of shortages of inhouse employees working as driver, delivery boy, loaders etc. This is making way to businesses of logistics outsourcing for intercity and intracity. During the current situation, lots of small-time business had started showing their relevance in the business and are flourishing. This, at this point in time is looking expensive, but once many players start exploring this space the competitiveness would bring price advantages to the organization. Besides, if scale would get created, it would also be profitable for these logistics outsourcing agencies. Many product selling organizations would start revising the margins they are giving to the business partners and would start utilizing that money for the logistics outsourcing. The only watch out for these logistics outsourcing organizations is to improve upon the efficiency and be a need and relevance for the organizations.


5. Trending Digitization :- When people are avoiding the contact with multiple people, the digitation would play a pivotal role now which may range from taking orders to processing payments. Many IT organizations would start thinking of developing software for order taking which could be kept at the stores. Avoiding crowd would further lead to developing apps and software that could be used for virtual interaction say for example for consultation works, education etc. These days, few of the institution are practicing that. Even the music class of my son is happening on digital platform. This would become new norms of the society over a period of time.


6. Changed Face of Entertainment :- While for some time now, the crowded places would be avoided by people, entertainment industry would literally see great change in the way it was happening. It though had started few months back when lot of mobentertainment companies like Netflix, Amazon Prime, MX Player etc had started gaining the oculus and a niche had been created that was spreading in the length and breadth. This would further strengthen and many a big name would start entering into this. Even the TV which once had been prophesied to be the thing of past would again boost. TV industry would start adding innovation to give a theater experience to the audience. Even the movies telecast could be bought by the customers for one time viewing. Nothing strange when the movie would be released on the internet where individual audience could buy a right of viewing it into their personal home theater. Besides, the small screen would further become smaller with bigger audience and impact. The popularity of the show or movie would be easier to measure than a TRP process which is not so scientific. A whole new era is knocking the door for the entertainment industry.


7. Fine to Dine at Home :- With the same principle of reducing the social distancing, the take away would be new in and dining would start losing the luster. Restaurant industry would start getting into giving the fine dining experiences at the guest home by selling some of those accessories like candle, cutleries etc. They possibly would start sending their interior experts / waiter and chef to the individual homes where all would be arranged at home only and would try giving the same exotic experiences. This of course would come with some premium pricing. This would possibly continue for at least 1 – 2 years till the time all are getting assurance that it is safe to go out now.


8. Lockdown A Process :- Lockdown is a buzz word for the entire world now that almost all the countries are practicing this wherever the Corona impact is there. Though this had made the life and economy of the country miserable, there is a silver lining of this. The pollution of the world is now at the lowest level across the globe. This is being recognized by all the countries. Some time now, this would become a new norm of keeping the country to the lockdown for some time every year to repair the damages we are doing to the mother nature. How I see this is, lockdown would become a week exercise every six months. Corona is not only creating havoc, but also is giving some learning.


9. New Face of Health And Fitness :- Out of all, the one who is feeling worst hit because of Corona is the gymmers. These group of people are finding it difficult to stay away from Gym. With the changing new normal situation, again an extension of virtual world would be seen when this industry will get into creating a virtual experience for the target audience. Lot many companies working in this sector would start floating time for the customers when all could be connected through video conferencing and would do workout at home. A new sector of handy equipment would start finding its market. An actual gym would start finding place in household while giving virtual experience to the TG.


10. Premiumization A Myth :- One big learning post lockdown is that how fragile the world economy is that even a month lockdown is giving a rock – jolt that no one is getting into an idea of how to recover fast. Since last few years premiumization was getting a fast momentum, it suddenly will start feeling pressure and a big population would start going back to the basic products. Companies would get a pressure of creating economical products without losing upon the quality of the products. The big gainer would be the companies who are already into the mass range space. More and more companies would start putting innovation to control prices without compromising with the quality. This may put pressure on the earning, but this is the way it is. Over a period of time, consumer offers would not much be relevant in the market. More and more companies would sell products without thinking much into “customer buy more”. The major focus of most of the companies would shift to “more people buy” and a fresh round of rural exploration would happen when many more companies would like going deeper in the country.


11. Saving For Future :- During the last world economic crisis in early 2000, only those countries were said to be saved themselves who had citizen habit of saving the earning rather than making it more mobile. India was one such country. After seeing the fragile status of economy, again most banking sector would appreciate saving culture. Financial institutions would get into developing products that can give better liquidity of money and making the money work for the earning as well. Government may try bringing small investors into mainstream again by reducing the interest on saving. More relaxation would be given to banks in CRR and Reverses Repo Rate to help them overcome the foreseen crisis. A minimum of 5 years is what looks like for economy to get back to normal.


Everyone is pleading to get away from the current situation. A new world is waiting for us beyond the current situation which would change the way we do things. Let’s start preparing ourselves as well to meet the new world demand and make our own bigger space there.

Amitesh

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